¿Cómo podemos acceder a nuevas fuentes de crecimiento?

Se prevé que la economía mundial, atrapada entre las tensiones comerciales y la incertidumbre política, crezca apenas un 3,1 % en 2026, reflejo de un entorno operativo impredecible. Según las previsiones, el comercio, que tradicionalmente ha sido un motor de crecimiento, solo aumentará un 0,9 % en 2025. Todo ello en un momento en el que se cuestionan las reglas existentes, sin que se hayan definido otras nuevas. A pesar de que la inflación general se ha controlado gradualmente, la subyacente sigue siendo elevada y la ratio de deuda-PIB ha escalado hasta máximos históricos del 95 %. Esto se produce en un momento en el que las autoridades tienen escaso margen de maniobra de en las esferas fiscal y monetaria. Las perspectivas dependerán cada vez más de la capacidad de las economías no solo para hacer frente a los shocks a corto plazo, sino también para aprovechar una innovación que permita impulsar la productividad a largo plazo. Asimismo, la política económica deberá estar en sintonía con la fuerza laboral y el conjunto de la sociedad, garantizando que las ventajas del crecimiento se extienden y benefician a más personas.

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